• RSS Somali VOA

    • Sagaal Ciidanka Puntland Katirsan oo Qarax ku Dhintey April 23, 2017
      Wararka ka imanaya maamul gobolleedka Puntland ayaa sheegaya in ay sagaal askeri ku dhinteen qarax miino oo maanta ka dhacay waddo ku taalla buuralayda Galgala.
    • Barnaamijka Caweyska Washington April 22, 2017
      Barnaamijka Caweyska Washington waxaad ku maqli doontaan suugaan xiiso leh oo ay inala wadaagayaan qaar ka mid suugaanyahanada da'da yar
    • Dhageyso Barn. Hambalyada Iyo Heesaha April 22, 2017
      Dhageystayaal ku soo dhawaada barnaamijkii Xiisaha lahaa ee Hambalyada iyo Heesaha, Waxa la diyaar ah Ibraahim Xasan Daandurey iyo Caasho Ibraahim Aaden.
    • Dhageyso Dhacdooyinka Toddobaadka April 22, 2017
      Dhageystayaal ku soo dhawaada barnaamijka Dhacdooyinka Toddobaadka, waxana maanta la diyaar ah Jamaal Axmed Cismaan.
    • Xaguu Marayaa Dhismaha Ciidanka Soomaaliya? April 22, 2017
      Amaanka iyo dhismaha ciidanka Somalia ayaa galay marxalad cusub, kadib marki dhawaan ay madaxda Dowlada ku dhawaaqday qorshe cusub oo dib u habeyn dhinaca ciidanka ah.
    • Askari Dil Toogasho Lagula Fuliyey Muqdisho April 22, 2017
      Maxkamad milatari oo ku taalla magaalada Muqdisho, ayaa maanta xakun dil ah ku filisay askari ka tirsanaa ciidanka qalbka sida kaasoo lagu eedeeyey inuu dilay qof rayid ah.
    • 140 Ruux oo Lagu Dilay Afghanstan April 22, 2017
      Ugu yaraan 140 ruux ayaa geeriyootay kadib marki ay kooxda Taliban Jimcihii weerartay saldhig milatari oo ay leeyihiin ciidamada Dowlada Afghanstan oo ku taalla waqooyiga dalkaasi.
    • Barnaamijka Martida Makrafoonka April 22, 2017
      Barnaamijka Martida Makarafoonka, waxaa todobaadkan marti ku ah Xoghayaha koowaad ee safaaradda Soomaliya ee Hindiya, Axmed Maxamuud (Xiish) oo ka warramaya dhalinyaro soomaaliyeed oo ku xiran Hindiya.
    • Buula-Barde: Ruuxii Diley Askarigii Jabuutiyaanka oo Isna La Diley April 21, 2017
      Taliyaha Ciidamada dowladda ee degmada Buula Barde ayaa VOA u xaqiijiyay in howlgal ay galabta ciidanka sameeyeen ay ku dileen ninkii dilka u geystay askari ka tirsan ciidamada nabad ilaalinta ee ka socday dalka Jabuuti.
    • Kenya: Waxaan Dilnay 52 Shabaab ah April 21, 2017
      Ciidamada dawladda Kenya ayaa sheegay inay dileen 52 ka tirsan maleeshiyada ururka Al-Shabaab 1-dii habeennimo ee xalay kadib weerar ka dhacay meel 9 km u jirta degaanka la yidhaahdo Sarira oo u dhow magaalada Badhaadhe.
    • Qoryooley: 6 Qof oo ku Dhaawacmay Qarax April 21, 2017
      Wararka ka imanaya magaalada Qoryooley ee gobolka Shabeellha Hoose ayaa sheegaya in 6 qof oo rayid ah ay dhawacyo cuslus soo gaareen kadib qarax ka dhacay maqaayad ku taalla magaalada.
    • Wasiirka Waxbarashada oo u Jawaabay Al-Shabaab April 21, 2017
      Wasiirka Waxbarashada Soomaaliya oo ka jawaabaya hadalka Al-Shabaab ayaa ugu baaqey inaysan waalidiinta dhegta u dhigin hadalka Al-Shabaab.
    • Faaqidaadda: Falalka Burcad Badeedda April 21, 2017
      Toddobaadyadii ugu dambeeyey waxaa dib usoo xoogeystay falalka afduubka maraakiibta ee ka dhaca xeebaha Soomaaliya. Waxaa la afduubtay dhowr doon ama markab, waxaana tani ay kordhisay walaacii maraakiibta ay ka qabeen ku safarka biyaha ku dhow Soomaaliya. Barnaamijka faaqidaadda toddobaadka waxaan ku eegeynaa falalkan dib usoo cusboonaaday, sababaha ugu waca […]
    • Xaaladda Paris oo Caadi ku soo Laabaneysa April 21, 2017
      Waddada caanka ah ee Champs-Elysees ee magaalada Paris ayaa maanta caadi ku soo laabaneysa kadib markii nin hubeysan uu khamiistii ku dilay qof boolis ahaa, islamarkaana ku dhaawacay laba qof oo kale.
    • Caruur Lagu Dilay Duqeyn ka Dhacday Gedo April 20, 2017
      Laba caruur ah ayaa dhimatey mid kalana dhaawac daran ayaa soo gaarey ka dib markii ciidamada Kenya ay duqeyn ka geysteen deegaanka Coos Qurun oo ka tirsan degmada Ceel-Waaq ee Gobolka Gedo.
    • Dowladda Somalia oo Cambaareysay Digniinta Al-Shabab April 20, 2017
      Dowladda Somalia ayaa cambaareysay digniin uu soo saaray ururka Al-Shabab oo uga digaya waalidiinta Soomaalida in ay carruurta u diraan Iskuullada iyo Jaamacadaha aan Islaamiga ahayn.
    • Howlgal ka Dhan Shabaab oo ka Billaabanaya Somalia April 20, 2017
      Dhawaan ayaa madaxda maamul goboleedyada iyo dowladda Federalka ay ku heshiiyeen qaab dhismeedka iyo isku dhafka ciidan qaran oo ay Somalia yeelato, lana hirgeliyo muddo lix bilood ah. Heshiiskan ayaa ku soo aaday iyadoo dowladdu ay diyaar garow xooggan ugu jirto dagaal uu madaxweynuhu sheegay in Al-Shabab looga xoreynayo Somalia. Shirkii Golaha Wasiirada ee […]
    • Hiiraan: Xiisad ka Dhalatay Askari laga Dilay Amisom April 20, 2017
      Xiisad ka dhalatay dil loo geystay shalay askari ka tirsan ciidanka Amisom qeybta Jabuuti ayaa si loo qaboojiyo waxaa magaaladasi gaaray mas’uuliyiin ka tirsan maamulka Hirshabelle.
    • Pence oo Amaanay 'Islaamka Qunyar socodka' Indonesia April 20, 2017
      Madaxweyne ku xigeenka Mareykanka Mike Pence ayaa amaanay wax uu ugu yeeray “dhaqanka islaamka qunyar socodka” ah ee dalka Indonesia, isaga oo booqday dalkaasi oo uu wada hadal kula yeeshay madaxweyne Joko Widodo iyo saraakiisha Ururka Dalalka Koonfur Bari Asia.
    • Bayle oo ka Hadlay Daymaha Somalia Lagu Leeyaha April 20, 2017
      Wasiirka maaliyadda Soomaaliya Dr. Cabdiraxmaan Du’aale Bayle ayaa sheegay in Somalia si deymaha looga cafiyo looga baahan yahay inay la timaado dowlad wanaag fiican, iyo la xisaabtana muuqdo oo hay’adaha dowladda ah.
  • Soo Raac

  • Sawiro Xusuus Leh

    More Photos
  • Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email.

    Join 46 other followers

  • your IP adress

    IP address
  • Archives

Will Kenya’s battle with Islamists in Somalia succeed? Any foreign intervention in Somalia is a big risk, say experts


kenyatroopsNovember 02, 2011|By Peter Wilkinson, CNN  Kenyan troops are battling

 

 

 

The Islamic extremist group Al-Shabaab in neighboring Somalia,

 

 

Westerners are being targeted at Kenyan tourist resorts and fears are

 

 

 

High of terror attacks in Nairobi. What are the reasons behind the unrest and what is likely to happen next?

What is the source of the unrest?

A state of near-anarchy has existed in Somalia for more than two decades: the government has little authority, violent conflict has left thousands dead, and the country has recently been hit by a devastating famine.

Pirates have taken advantage of the power vacuum to prey on vessels large and small off the country’s coast, but over the past few months, Al-Shabaab militants appear to have added a new tactic: kidnapping foreign tourists and aid workers in Kenya (though some in Al-Shabaab deny involvement in the abductions.) Al-Shabaab already generates tens of millions of dollars a year, much of it by controlling ports along the Somali coast, according to a recent United Nations report.

U.N. report: Al-Shabaab is raising millions illegally in Somalia

How has Kenya responded to the kidnappings?

Responding to fears that foreign investors and tourists could be scared away, Kenyan forces last month entered Somalia, saying the kidnappings threatened security and constituted an attack on Kenyan sovereignty. Kenyan forces say they are ultimately seeking to take the Somali port city of Kismayo, described by the U.N. as a key stronghold and source of cash for Al-Shabaab.

Fears grow over Somali pirates’ ‘new tactics’ after kidnaps, killing

What has been the response?

The incursion has raised fears of reprisals with Al-Shabaab saying it considers it an affront to Somalia’s sovereignty. Last month (October) the U.S. Embassy in Kenya said it had credible information of an imminent terror attack on foreigners. The following day, twin explosions in Nairobi killed at least one person.

Many worry the action will make Kenya less safe, not more so. Security analyst Rashid Abdi, from International Crisis Group, told CNN: "There is a risk that while the argument for going in is to stop terrorism, the contrary could now be the case. Al-Shabaab will now have the pretext to strike Kenya."

How likely is Kenya’s operation to succeed?

Any foreign intervention in Somalia is a big risk, say experts who point to recent history as proof, in particular America’s ill-fated "Black Hawk Down" mission in 1993 when U.S. forces tried to capture a local warlord – resulting in many deaths on both sides, Ethiopia’s U.S.-backed invasion that contributed to the rise of Al-Shabaab, and the African Union’s long and bloody campaign to control the Somali capital Mogadishu.

"If there is anything we have learnt in the last couple of decades it is that foreign intervention, especially military intervention, doesn’t work in Somalia," said Abdi

Kenya’s largely conventional army is being hampered by heavy rains and Al-Shabaab’s ability to melt into the background. However officials say their operation should be over within months. "We don’t want to go off and get stuck in Somalia," Kenyan government spokesman Alfred Mutua said. "When the United States, Ethiopia and others went there, they were trying to support an existing government. Our main objective is just to go in, dismantle the Al-Shabaab and get out."

What is the background to the unrest?

Somalia has known only conflict since the 1991 fall of dictator Mohamed Siad Barre, who had seized power in 1969, nine years after independence from Britain and Italy. Meanwhile, as the EU tightened fishing controls in Europe, fleets from Europe and Asia — many operating illegally — moved into East African waters to fish. According to many reports, in the absence of any Somali navy patrols, those fleets plundered fish stocks, decimating the livelihoods of many Somali fishermen.

Fertile territory for Al Shabaab in chaos of Somalia

Many of these destitute former fisherman "took matters into their own hands," according to the African Development Bank, and turned to hijacking ships to make up for lost income. The new "industry" was quickly co-opted by the Somali warlords and is now an organized, hierarchical gang-like operation.

According to academic William Jelani Cobb, "Somalia is like Afghanistan in that we had a great deal of interest in the place during the Cold War and more or less forgot about it afterward."

In an article written for CNN in 2009 in response to the kidnapping of an American ship captain, Cobb wrote: "Part of combating terrorism means addressing the conditions in which it flourishes. Extortion and kidnapping on the high seas is certainly wrong, but by ignoring … the threats to the regional food supply, we effectively created a niche for these pirates."

Commentary: A lesson of Somali pirate attacks

How will the unrest affect the region?

With famine causing misery for millions in the Horn of Africa, the conflict between Al-Shabaab and Kenyan forces is likely to hinder humanitarian efforts. Even before the incursion, aid workers found it difficult to provide relief, according to Roger Middleton, consultant researcher on Chatham House’s Africa Program.

"If you’ve got a big war going on, it’s difficult to distribute relief. Bombings only increase the risk," Middleton said, adding that discussions about access between aid workers and Al-Shabaab were unlikely to be eased by the conflict

How is the international community reacting?

The Kenyan government says the decision to attack was its alone. Key western allies such as the U.S. and the UK have been quick to state publicly they are not assisting in this action, though the French say they will help. In the region, Rwanda and South Africa have issued statements backing Kenya.

"The international community is being quietly supportive," Middleton said, "but only because they have no idea what else to do.

"I’m sure the U.S. and others have provided intelligence assistance, but there have been no overwhelming offers of support. Most governments believe sending troops into Somalia is not a good idea, but there is no plan B, apart from the status quo.

"Their reasoning is that Kenya forces could be stuck in Somalia for ages, or there could be an insurgent campaign in Kenya itself. It could go horribly wrong — who knows?"

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: